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But to reach those goals, all he can promise is pain higher unemployment, more belt-tightening. The roots of todays problems run much deeper than the economy. For more than a century, from feudal 19th century backwater through the catastrophe of World War II to becoming a pacifist economic juggernaut, the Japanese borrowed everything they could from the West. Kimonos gave way to tuxedos, tuxedos to blue jeans; rice and miso soup to coffee and Big Macs; Noh theater to Hollywood. For 50 years, the payoff was prosperity, the promise of more riches tomorrow. Yet suicides are at an all-time high 33,048 Japanese killed themselves in 1999, a 35 percent increase over two years. Reports of rising child abuse fill the newspapers. Merciless bullying and out-of-control classrooms are ripping at Japans once-proud educational system. Housebound mothers and fathers working 18-hour days dont make for happy families. And Japans aging society 17.7 percent is 65 or older, compared with 12.6 percent in the United States is driving health insurance and pension systems to the brink of failure. Ordinary Japanese find themselves trapped between an unresponsive establishment and a restive society. Students are becoming more individualistic, but schools are unbendingly conformist. Women are growing more ambitious, but boardrooms remain a male preserve. Young business people increasingly want to innovate, but conservative banks are reluctant to lend to them. Despite Koizumis coup against the ruling Liberal Democratic Partys entrenched elite, deep political change is still largely blocked by an electoral system that favors the rural base of the conservatives. The supremacy of unelected bureaucrats insulates the real sources of power from public opinion. A lack of lawyers and a secretive legal system mean people rarely turn to courts to challenge authority. Vested interests have thwarted moves to improve everything from air quality to the availability of heart transplants. Hagiwara reflects the conflicted Japanese mind. She complains about her strict high school, argues for more freedom, yet suspects the old ways might be best. Our way of thinking is very carefree, she says. But maybe our parents generation did things the right way. For all the economic weakness it radiates to the outside world, its conceivable that Japan, insulated from real pain by flush savings accounts and global financial clout, could limp on for years. It remains the worlds second-largest economy, its gross national product greater than that of the rest of Asia combined, China included. This huge cushion could see it through the worst of crises. Amid all the recession and downsizing, the average Japanese household still has more than $110,000 in savings, and the average salaried worker makes more than $40,000 a year. The wealth is on show for any visitor taking the highway from Tokyos international airport into the city, as terraced rice fields yield to skyscrapers and crisscrossing expressways. Prosperity is evident in the cars, shopwindows and cafes with their $5 cups of coffee, and automation still holds the nation in thrall, from the talking parking meters to the fake birdsong in hotel lobbies. The gadgetry is matched by industriousness and attention to detail. Guards chant Good Morning (Ohayo Gozaimasu!) for hours at a time to visitors streaming into their buildings. Deliverymen here dont walk they sprint. Modern Japanese WomenNowadays its a little easier to be a rule-breaker such as Kanae Tsutsumi. In a country where men are supposed to run the company and head the household, Tsutsumi is a divorced mother and chief executive of Career-Mam, an Internet-based marketing research and employment agency aimed at housewives and working women. I didnt want to be just one of many, she says during a polite but rapid-fire conversation in her kitchen, in an apartment above her office. At 36, Tsutsumi is on the cusp of Japans changes. Nuclear families have replaced extended clans. The high cost of raising and educating children and greater career ambitions of women have pushed the national birthrate to an all-time low _ only 1.34 births per woman. Unhappy couples are now more likely to file for divorce: 250,500 couples broke up in 1999 nearly 100,000 more than in 1990. The challenges for women such as Tsutsumi are many. She has shared her tiny apartment with her 7-year-old son since splitting with her husband last year. After elementary school lets out, the boy goes to day care until his mother gets away from work. She and others like her must put up with widespread criticism that they have sacrificed societys well-being for their own selfish desires. For a woman to realize her dreams, she has to fight as if she were fighting for her life, Tsutsumi says. Still, for all its rules and workaholism, Japan can be a comforting place. You can still daydream on the subway without worrying about pickpockets. Even fast-food lunches are tastefully packaged. And theres a calming, contemplative effect in traditions such as the centuries-old rite of flocking to parks to view cherry blossoms in springtime. Down and OutThe polar opposite, in modern Japan, is a place like Sanya. The neighborhood in northeast Tokyo is the abyss, filled with those who have fallen about as far as there is to go. In this darkest side of the souring of the Japanese miracle live the jobless, the homeless, the alcoholics, the mentally ill. Men huddle around small bonfires on cold mornings, some already drinking sake or beer, others warming themselves before applying at a local employment agency for a days work. The slum has been around for decades, long an anonymous place for the disadvantaged to drop out of society. The word Sanya can draw blank looks even from lifelong Tokyoites. Built around feudal execution grounds and split among three wards, Sanya does not even legally exist. The freshest arrivals tell of the grinding pressures of todays Japan, and how the country, which has long expected families to take care of their own, cant cope with those who fall through the cracks. Okawa, too ashamed to give his full name, came here to disappear last year after suffering a nervous breakdown and nearly running his car repair shop in northern Japan into bankruptcy. Smiling to reveal missing teeth, he keeps the neatest shack along the river. A park bench is his bed; he spends the morning sweeping his portion of the promenade and carefully watering the flowers hung on outside walls of his hardscrabble home. I just needed a place to calm down, says Okawa. I used to have a cell phone and it was always ringing I used to get 40 calls a day. Hes relieved to have escaped his troubles for a while, but hes also filled with regret and plans to scrape his way back to respectability and a second chance. I just wasted all my money, he says, shaking his head. Now Im here, saving up. In the MiddleSanya is still an exception, by comparison with many Western metropolises. The norm is better represented by Yoshihiko and Tomoko Tamagawa, a middle-class couple enjoying spring with a picnic by a river on the edge of Tokyo. They arent rich but they are comfortable: their clothes are new; their cell phones have Internet access; they shop at the Gap. But they too sense that the promise of a better tomorrow may be slipping away. Yoshihiko, 32, is crossing his fingers that the printing machine factory he works at can escape the downsizing ravaging other companies. Tomoko, 33, frets about the threats of crime and pollution to their two preschoolers. They agree that greater freedom at home and at work can mean a better life. But they are also worried that change means uncertainty. People all have different values its very unstable, Tamagawa says. In the old days, fathers passed on their values to their children. But now, he says, as his 2-year-old boy and 4-year-old girl scampered about, kids are more out in society, they live in luxury. Even the way they play is different. Many point to something deeper a loss of soul, the ebbing of a cooperative spirit that once defined the nation. Identity CrisisThat intangible loss comes up often in conversation: Japanese worked harder in the past now they lack direction; preoccupation with wealth and status has eaten away at human decency; community has given way to selfishness. Every society in times of change looks back to a simpler age. In Japan, the search for a higher purpose leads some to nationalism. A recent movie depicting wartime Prime Minister Hideki Tojo as a kindly family man was a box-office hit. Revisionist scholars are promoting textbooks that gloss over Japans wartime atrocities. Parliament in 1999 made the Rising Sun flag and an ode to the emperor national symbols, despite their association with past militarism. None of this presages an imminent shift to militarism. Memories of wartime devastation are still at the core of the countrys identity. But even 59-year-old Koizumi has mixed his reformist message with an appeal to nationalist sentiment. He has suggested changing the U.S.-written constitution to give the countrys military a greater international role, and has pledged to be the first prime minister since 1985 to visit a shrine for Japans war dead, including convicted war criminals, on the anniversary of the countrys World War II surrender, Aug. 15.
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