Obama’s ‘NAFTA-gate’ mirrors ‘80-20-gate,’ triggers Ohio defeat
Politics is back to normal now. The “process” is still the process. And that gives Hillary Clinton a real edge.
I admit I got caught up in Obama’s “fantasy democracy.” That’s the idea that the people’s vote really does matter, and all the stuff that makes politics distasteful just doesn’t exist.
Undying loyalty, backroom deal making, vicious attack campaigning, devious spinning and re-spinning — none of that seemed to matter this time around.
I wasn’t smoking anything. I was just watching Barack Obama rack up a string of primary victories within a Democratic establishment that was supposedly dominated by the Clintons.
The Obama hysteria was hard to deny. Old-style politics was dormant. The road wasn’t yellow-bricked (most of the yellow bricks were Clintonites), but there where white, black and a few brown bricks paving a delegate path to victory for a person of color. Certainly, the math looked like it would work out for B.O.
But now Texas, Ohio and NAFTA have brought the dreamers down to earth. Fantasy time is over. When Hillary appears victorious with her black campaign chairwoman from Ohio, it’s clear the old rules still apply. It’s still politics after all.
That means loyalty, experience and history matter. So do all the nasty things that politics is known for. Deals will be made; things will “work out for the best.” That doesn’t necessarily mean government “by the people, for the people.” It will still mean “some people.”
If that disgusts you, then you don’t have the stomach for the “grin and bear it” world of politics.
The Superdelegates back in control
Obama folks may say Clinton isn’t the “comeback kid” but the “comeback kidder,” as in, “Who is she kidding? She can’t possibly make up the delegate count.”
But forget the pledged delegate count. Media organizations are putting Hillary ahead 254-211 among those unpledged superdelegates.
When full-blown Obamamania was raging, the thought was, how could any of those superdelegates like Sen. Daniel Inouye of Hawai‘i possibly go against their districts, some of which went overwhelmingly for Obama?
But now those superdelegates have a case. Clinton has her own satchel of primary victories including the biggest ones: California, New York, Florida, Texas and Ohio. Those are states that the Democrats need if they’re going to win in November. Hillary doesn’t back down from here. She only gets stronger and more electable with the help of those superdelegates.
Gautam Dutta’s Asian American Action Fund blog lists the following known APA superdelegates:
1. Sen. Daniel Akaka (D-HI)
2. Rep. Madeleine Z. Bordallo (D-Guam)
3. Rep. Eni Faleomavaega (D-American Samoa)
4. Rep. Mazie Hirono (D-HI)
5. Rep. Mike Honda (D-CA)
6. Sen. Daniel K. Inouye (D-HI)
7. Rep. Doris Matsui (D-CA)
8. Rep. Mee Moua (D-MN)
9. Rep. Bobby Scott (D-VA)
10. Rep. David Wu (D-OR)
11. Kamil Hasan, DNC Asian Pacific Islander American Caucus
12. Bel Leong-Hong, chair, DNC Asian Pacific Islander American Caucus
13. Mona Mohib, vice chair, DNC Asian Pacific Islander American Caucus
14. Mona Pasquil, DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee
15. Keith Umemoto, co-chair, DNC Credentials Committee and treasurer, Western DNC States Caucus
16. Alicia Wang, second vice chair, California Democratic Party
Those are just a few of them. How will they vote? Most of them are definitely leaning Clinton. And if they’re from California, the most populous APA state in the country, they definitely should vote that way. Two-thirds of the APAs here did.
But what of the other 440 or so other superdelegates?
By the convention in Denver, neither Obama nor Clinton will have enough pledged delegates to win. The superdelegates will have to step in — and be kingmakers.
And what about the popular vote? It didn’t help Al Gore.
That’s why fantasy time is over. Politics is real now, and all the main decisions are likely to be made in the back rooms out of public view. In public, you’ll see more stuff like “NAFTA-gate,” which didn’t help Obama in Ohio.
‘80/20-gate’ a precursor to ‘NAFTA-gate’
“NAFTA-gate” is what some have dubbed the missteps of the Obama campaign over an Obama aide’s meeting with the Canadian Consulate in Chicago. The meeting was intended to reassure Canadian officials that Obama recognized the importance of free trade.
When the Clinton campaign found out about that meeting, it went on attack. It questioned Obama’s conciliatory talk with Canada versus his tough anti-NAFTA rhetoric in Ohio, a state that blames NAFTA for much of its economic woes.
The Obama camp at first denied that any meeting with Canadian officials took place. But then a Canadian Consulate member caught the Obama campaign in a lie and provided the Associated Press a memo confirming the meeting. Oops.
That whole episode should remind you of our experience with the Obama campaign and that 80-20 questionnaire it failed to answer in a timely manner. The pattern emerges. The Obama campaign hasn’t learned from past experience.
Make that lack of experience. It almost assures another Obama slip on that brick path to the convention.
emil@amok.com